Back in my
teenage years, I was very much into Mesozoic dinosaurs. It changed in my late
teens and shifted towards recently extinct animals, especially ungulates,
because these animals are much closer to our time and thus more graspable. My
enthusiasm for aurochs was partly always fueled by the thought that, because of
its very recent extinction, it might one day come back with new technology. But
will that ever happen?
In the
past, I made posts on why the aurochs would be the prime candidate for
“de-extinction”. You can go here, for example. Having had a deeper look into
the genetic framework around CRISPR-Cas9 and what would be necessary for a
successful “de-extinction” of the aurochs, I changed my mind fundamentally. The
aurochs might actually be a very tricky case, if not technically impossible.
Let’s have a look at why that might be the case step by step:
1. The
reconstructed genome is not the original genome
Ancient DNA
does not come as a nice, complete DNA strand, but as isolated fragments that
are used to try to infer the original genome. Many pieces cover duplications of
sequences. For the reconstruction, you need a template, a close relative that
is used for puzzling the pieces together. In the case of the aurochs genomes,
domestic cattle and related wild bovines are used as a template. The problem:
structural variations, such as duplications of genes (that can have a huge
impact on the organism), have a high risk of staying undetected in this method.
For example, if the aurochs had an additional copy of a gene of the FGF family,
or at least an additional enhancer, it would explain why aurochs were taller,
larger, had more developed horns, and such a robust skull; yet, the duplication
would stay undetected because the template (the genome of the related species)
does not have it. Thus, even if scientists manage to create a bovine that has
100% of the reconstructed aurochs genome, there is the risk that this reconstruction
is different from the original genome, with those differences having a large
impact on the development of the animal – maybe even lethality.
2. Creating
a bovine with 100% of the reconstructed genome is technically basically
impossible
Domestication
changed the hormonal and developmental system of cattle dramatically, with the
morphological changes being a consequence of that. Not only were probably
hundreds or even thousands of genes determining the hormonal and developmental
regime of the animals affected by domestication, but also the accompanying
regulatory sequences and epigenetic programs. So if we were to change a cattle
genome into a (reconstructed) aurochs genome, we are probably talking about
hundreds or thousands of edits, with a technique that only allows one change at
a time and might also produce errors. It is highly impracticable.
3. Even
exchanging a few important alleles would be problematic
Many of the
changes during domestication did probably not change the proteins produced by
the genes directly, but when, where and how long the genes are expressed. The
typical domestic paedomorphy is basically a prolonged juvenile gene expression.
“Removing” paedomorphy would make the bovines already a lot more aurochs-like. But
developmental genes are part of a highly nuanced system with complex
interactions between the individual genes, and changing a few “key genes” can
lead to wrong expressions, distorted development or even lethality. And even in
more discrete traits, such as horn shape, even if we identify a gene that
regulates the classic aurochs horn shape and we were to insert the allele into
a cattle genome, there is no guarantee the allele would work the way it would
work in an aurochs, because the genetic, epigenetic and developmental
environment is different. It would have to be executed by “trial and error”,
which would require a large number of cattle individuals and many breeding
generations. And if the inserted aurochs allele is to work in a proper,
aurochs-like fashion, it would require the developmental program of an aurochs
and not of domestic cattle, which brings us to the problem illustrated in point
2 again. Just inserting an aurochs allele into a domestic developmental
framework might lead to distorted development and traits that are nothing like
an aurochs’ at all.
4. In the
same time span and at much lower cost, good “breeding-back” cattle could be
released into a suitable reserve and natural selection does the rest
Implanting
a few “key” alleles from ancient DNA into “breeding-back” cattle would require
research on which alleles are to be inserted and a lot of trial and error to
not disrupt the animal’s development, and it would probably work only with one
allele per generation. Considering this, breeding for a more aurochs-like
phenotype might actually have been the more efficient way all along. It selects
for aurochs-like traits without disrupting the developmental pathways – surely,
it takes long, but so would genome editing. And both strategies will not result
in an original aurochs.
Therefore,
my take on the subject currently is take the best “breeding-back” cattle,
release them in a suitable area and let natural selection do the rest. According
to my “dedomestication hypothesis”, that I am sure many of my readers are
familiar with, wildtype traits (be it morphological, ethological,
hormonal/developmental) will have a selective advantage over the domestic
counterparts and the cattle will become continuously more wildtype-like with
time. The cost of letting natural selection do the rest is virtually zero
compared to highly effortful genome editing, which has no guarantee that it
will work as planned. Therefore, I think that before we try to create an
“aurochsified” cattle in the lab, we should concentrate our resources on
finding or creating an area where a large-enough population of “breeding-back”
cattle can live under natural circumstances, ideally with natural and sexual
selection, and also pressure from predators.
5. Are
modern breeding-back cattle “ready to be released”?
This brings
us to the next question, namely if modern “breeding-back” cattle are already
suited for such an endeavour. My answer is a clear and strong yes. I think that
modern “breeding-back” is very close to the pinnacle of what can be achieved
with domestic cattle, apart from the fact that they are still very
heterogeneous. But stabilizing the phenotype might actually take centuries,
considering the large number of genes involved and the slow reproduction of
cattle. From the ecological standpoint, I think the cattle are very fit –
cattle tend to feralize rather easy, and so should “breeding-back” cattle,
which descend from hardy and robust landraces. Of course, the currently running
projects can still strive for even better animals, but I am very satisfied with
the current results. I think it is time to look for an area large enough and
isolated from humans enough so that the cattle can develop freely and unhindered
from any human interference – at the same time, it would be very interesting to
document phenotypic changes of these released cattle over decades in a
long-term study.
6. Conclusion:
Will the aurochs ever come back?
If you
strictly mean the original animal in all aspects like it was 100.000, 10.000 or
1000 years ago, we can effectively almost rule that out with certainty. No
matter which route we take, there will be genetic and phenotypic differences.
But in a more sensu lato way of the term, we can produce a type of bovine that
is barely distinguishable from the aurochs (apart from vestiges of
domestication that will appear in several individuals for a very long time,
such as small white spots, recessive diluted coat colours etc.) that also
functions ecologically the same way, shows the same social behaviour patterns
(as all domestic cattle do) and is also at least partly shaped by natural
selection, by taking the best of the best of “breeding-back” cattle and
releasing them into a suitable area.